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美国租赁协会(ARA)预测未来五年美国设备租赁市场收益前景大好

更新日期:2016年5月10日 大字 小字
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The equipment rental industry revenue forecast for the next five years continues to paint a very positive picture for the future in the United States, with growth rates exceeding 7% through at least 2018, according to the latest projections released by the American Rental Association (ARA). The U.S. industry also remains on track to reach record revenue of $38.3 billion in 2015.

据美国租赁协会(ARA)最新发布的预测显示,未来五年美国设备租赁行业收益前景大好,最晚到2018年增长率超过7%。在2015年,美国设备租赁行业收益仍有望年破383亿美元的记录。

The recently updated ARA Rental Market Monitor five-year forecast remains strong, despite slower demand for rental equipment from the mining, oil and gas sector, as commercial and residential construction spending have started to pick up steam this year and are expected to grow faster over the next few years.

最近更新的ARA租赁市场观察显示尽管采矿、采油、采气设备租赁需求放缓,但是今年商业和住宅建设支出上涨,而且增长速度比去年更快,所以预测未来五年设备租赁业表现强劲。

Overall, total equipment rental revenue in 2015 for the U.S. is expected to grow 7.3% with growth of 7.8% in 2016, 7.3% in 2017, 7.4% in 2018 and 6.5% in 2019 to reach $50.6 billion.

总的来说,预计2015年美国设备租赁收益总额将增长7.3%,2016年增长7.8%,2017年增长7.3%,2018年增长7.4%,2019年增长6.5%,达506亿美元。

In Canada, equipment rental revenue is forecast to increase 2.6% in 2015 to reach $4.04 billion. The growth rate is projected to increase 3.1% in 2016, 3.9% in 2017, 6.4% in 2018 and 4.5% in 2019 to reach $4.83 billion.

预测2015年加拿大设备租赁收益将增长2.6%,达40.4亿美元。2016年收益增长率预计将达3.1%,2017年达3.9%,2018年达6.4%,2019年达4.5%,收益额48.3亿美元。

For North America, with the U.S. and Canada combined, total equipment rental revenue is forecast to be $43.3 billion in 2015, up 6.8%, reaching $56.6 billion in 2019.

预计2015年,美国和加拿大合起来的北美设备租赁收益总额将达433亿美元,增长率为6.8%,2019年总收益额将达566亿美元。

“The equipment rental industry continues on an upward trajectory and is expected to show significantly strong growth through 2019. Some specific market conditions may change, but rental companies are agile and can adapt their inventory and fleet to fit what the market demands,” says Christine Wehrman, ARA’s executive vice president and CEO.

ARA执行副总裁兼CEO,Christine Wehrman表示:“设备租赁业仍成上升的发展趋势,到2019年设备租赁行业将发展最为强劲。一些特定的市场环境可能改变,但是租赁公司也会随之变革,从而使他们的库存和机队适应市场需求变化。”

“Customers from large construction companies to contractors, homeowners, corporate event planners and families celebrating milestones likes weddings and graduations also continue to learn that renting equipment is a smart move, both economically and environmentally, leading to more organic growth for rental companies,” Wehrman says.

他还认为:“无论是大建筑公司还是承包商,无论是企业活动策划还是像婚礼、毕业典礼这样的家庭庆祝活动,租赁设备是明智之举,既经济又环保。这将有利于租赁公司有机发展。”

U.S. Expansion Back on Track

美国回归扩张之路
The new quarterly ARA forecast from the ARA Rental Market Monitor subscription service has been modified slightly compared to the first quarter’s forecast, reflecting the rapid change in market conditions, the economic dip related to the harsh weather earlier this year and the volatility in the energy markets.

ARA租赁市场观察订阅服务的新一季度ARA预测较第一季度的预测稍作修改,这反映了市场环境变化之快,今年早些时候天气恶劣和能源市场波动,致使经济面临下行压力。

U.S. construction and industrial equipment rental revenue, according to the forecast, is now expected to grow 7.6% in 2015, 7.9% in 2016, 7.7% in 2017, 7.8% in 2018 and 6.5% in 2019.
据预测, 2015年美国建筑和工业设备租赁收益将上涨7.6%,2016年上涨7.9%,2017年上涨7.7%,2018年上涨7.8%,2019年上涨6.5%。

U.S. general tool rental revenue now is expected to grow 7.5% in 2015, 8.5% in 2016, 7.6% in 2017, 7.8% in 2018 and 7.8% in 2019.
2015年, 美国通用工具租赁收益预计上涨7.5%,2016年上涨8.5%,2017年上涨7.6%,2018年上涨7.8%,2019年上涨7.8%

U.S. party and event rental revenue now is projected to grow 4% in 2015 and 4.3% in 2016, with growth slowing to 1.9% in 2017, 2.0% in 2018 and 1.8% in 2019.
2015年,美国派对和活动租赁收益预计增长4%,2016年增长4.3%,2017年增长1.9%,2018年增长2.0%,2019年增长1.8%。

While total rental revenue increased 3.8% in the first quarter, ARA estimates revenue growth for the industry at 7.2% in the second quarter, 8.4% in the third quarter and 9.9% in the fourth quarter, compared to the same time periods in 2014.

与2014年同期相比,2015年第一季度租赁收益总额增长3.8%,ARA估计2第二季度增长7.2%,第三季度增长8.4%,第四季度增长9.9%。

IHS Economics, the respected economic forecasting firm that compiles data and analysis for the ARA Rental Market Monitor, said U.S. expansion is back on track as growth resumed in the second quarter, led by a pickup in consumer spending, but tempered by a slowing in inventory investment.

为ARA租赁市场观察采集和分析数据的经济预测公司IHS Economics表示,随着消费者支出上涨,第二季度租赁收益也随之增长,虽然受库存投资影响增速放缓,但是整体趋势看涨,因此美国回归了扩张之路。

In addition, IHS Economics said consumer spending is currently supported by gains in employment, real disposable income and asset values, and that housing markets should steadily recover in response to rising employment, easing credit standards and pent-up demand.

另外,IHS Economics认为,消费者支出增加是受就业、可支配收入和资产价值影响,而且就业增长、宽松的信贷标准和被抑制的需求刺激房地产市场稳步复苏,这也促使消费者支出增长。

“In general, we are seeing positive economic forces favoring the equipment rental industry that outweigh any negative market forces. That leads to rental companies showing more confidence and increasing investments in fleets that will support the growth of the industry,” Wehrman says.

Wehrman表示:“一般来说,积极的经济力量对设备租赁行业的支持超过的消极市场力量对设备租赁行业的影响。这增长了租赁公司信心,增加公司对机队的投入,从而促进该行业发展。”

Rental companies, according to the ARA Rental Market Monitor, are forecast to invest nearly $12.6 billion this year in equipment, increasing to $13.5 billion in 2016 and $14.1 billion in 2017. Investment as a share of revenue is expected to be more than 32% for each of the next three years.

据ARA租赁市场观察预测,今年,租赁公司将投资设备近126亿美元,2016年将增至135亿美元,2017年将增至141亿美元。投资作为收益的一部分,预计未来三年每年增长32%。

Improving Prospects in Canada

加拿大前景转好
Adverse weather and the slowdown in oil and gas industry investment also impacted Canada in the first quarter of 2015 as the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) declined at a 0.6% annual rate. Lower oil prices are particularly impacting Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland, while Ontario and Quebec are benefitting from gains in consumer purchasing power and export competitiveness.

恶劣的天气和石油天然气行业投资增速放缓影响了加拿大2015年第一季度的经济表现,使其GDP年率下降06.%。阿尔伯塔省、萨斯喀彻温省和纽芬兰受低油价影响尤为严重,而安大略和魁北克受到消费者购买力和出口竞争力的有利影响。

In addition, the Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate to 0.5% in mid-July to help revive economic growth.

另外,加拿大央行下调政策利率0.5%,促进7月中旬以来经济复苏。

As a result in Canada, construction and industrial revenue is forecast to grow 2.5% in 2015, 3.1% in 2016, 3.9% in 2017, 6.8% in 2018 and 4.7% in 2019. General tool’s growth rates over for 2015-2019 in Canada are projected to be 3.0%, 2.9%, 3.5%, 5.3% and 4.1% while party and event’s growth is forecast for 3.5%, 3.9%, 4.6%, 3.5% and 2.4%.

因此在加拿大,预计2015年建筑和工业设备租赁收益增长2.5%,2016年增长3.1%,2017年增长3.9%,2018年增长6.8%,2019难增长4.7%。预计2015-2019年加拿大通用工具租赁收益增长率分别是3.0%,2.9%,3.5%,5.3%和4.1%。派对和活动设备租赁收益增长率预测分别为3.5%,3.9%,4.6%,3.5%和2.4%。
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